Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)


	Almirante Brown		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.8	Watch
	2.15	2.68	3.9	Watch
	2.3	2.73	4.04
	2.31	2.54	4.21	Watch
	2.25	2.6	3.8
	2.29	2.73	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)	3.92 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
41.3%

Draw
35%

Central Norte
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

34.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

35.2%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Almirante Brown - Central Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Cardozo E. 2. Levi M. (C) 6. Alegre Rojas G. 3. Fernandez R. 8. Velazquez J. 5. Jara L. 7. Gonzalez R. 10. Iglesias L. 11. Almada T. 9. Martinez E.	1. Vazquez E. (C) 4. Rosales M. 2. Calderon E. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Sanz P. 7. Moravec M. 5. Mancuso G. 8. Villarreal M. 11. Mateo J. 9. Abondetto R. 10. Vedoya F.
Substitutes
15. Altamirano G. 19. Bazan N. 18. Belloso M. 12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gauna S. 17. Quignon F. 20. Vega L. 14. Velurtas P. 13. Villoldo T.	15. Aleo A. 19. Alvez G. 17. Bustinduy A. 14. Felissia L. 20. Fernandez K. 12. Hass F. (G) 13. Padilla M. 16. Ribero M. 18. Taobas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Vedoya F. 🟨,
18', Fernandez R. 🟨,
32', Calderon E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Alegre Rojas G. 🟨,
64', Gonzalez R. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
64', Iglesias L. ↓, Quignon F. ↑,
68', Mancuso G. 🟨,
72', Abondetto R. ↓, Taobas T. ↑,
78', Vedoya F. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
78', Moravec M. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
80', Velazquez J. ↓, Altamirano G. ↑,
80', Almada T. ↓, Gauna S. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, Altamirano G. (A),
86', Mateo J. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
86', Mancuso G. ↓, Ribero M. ↑,
89', Martinez E. ↓, Villoldo T. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Almirante Brown has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Central Norte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almirante Brown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Almirante Brown will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Racing de Córdoba - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTL
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Central Norte - Mitre	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Central Norte - All Boys	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Los Andes - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.08.25	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	0:0
06.04.25	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	2:1

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