Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)


	Deportivo Madryn		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.7	5	Watch
	1.95	2.82	4.45	Watch
	2	2.89	4.95
	1.95	3	4.59	Watch
	2	2.75	4.4
	1.97	2.77	5.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)	2.82 ↓ (2.85)	4.74 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
47.4%

Draw
33%

Almirante Brown
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

32.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

31.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almirante Brown (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Ayala R. 8. Recalde F. 5. Calleros Y. 10. Solis N. 11. Montagna E. 7. Cuero M. 9. Servetto N.	1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Jara L. 2. Levi M. 6. Cabral G. 3. Fernandez R. 7. Cardozo E. 5. Gauna S. 8. Moreyra G. 10. Almada T. 9. Martinez E. 11. Gonzalez R.
Substitutes
17. Barrientos N. 15. Cosi J. 14. Gutierrez A. 18. Jara E. 19. Machado C. 13. Martinez D. 12. Montero M. (G) 16. Ospitaleche F. 20. Silba L.	16. Abreliano M. 13. Alegre Rojas G. 17. Almanza F. 18. Belloso M. 12. Bottini A. (G) 19. Gugenheim C. 20. Vega L. 15. Velazquez J. 14. Velurtas P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Gauna S. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
38', Calleros Y. ↓, Silba L. ↑,
41', Ayala R. 🟨,
44', Solis N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Servetto N. ⚽,
62', Moreyra G. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
62', Martinez E. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
62', Almada T. ↓, Abreliano M. ↑,
65', Cardozo E. 🟨,
67', Cuero M. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
73', Fernandez R. ↓, Velurtas P. ↑,
74', Ayala R. ↓, Cosi J. ↑,
74', Solis N. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
74', Sosa A. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
81', Gauna S. ↓, Alegre Rojas G. ↑,
84', Abreliano M. 🟨,
87', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
89', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
89', Abreliano M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Silba L. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Recent performances by Deportivo Madryn have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Almirante Brown is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Almirante Brown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Madryn is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.26	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Godoy Cruz - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWLT
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.26	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Racing de Córdoba - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.10.24	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	5:1
01.06.24	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1
26.06.22	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:0

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