Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.78	2.88
	2.61	2.8	2.84	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.25
	2.26	3.08	3.18
	2.25	2.75	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.31)	2.81 ↓ (2.86)	3.1 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
38.3%

Draw
32.3%

Rebordosa
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

32.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Alpendorada - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Alpendorada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rebordosa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Rebordosa has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Aparecida - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Resende - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Alpendorada - Anadia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTW
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Rebordosa - Cinfães	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Rebordosa - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Leça - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Rebordosa - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Rebordosa - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.08.25	Rebordosa - Alpendorada	2:0
19.03.23	Rebordosa - Alpendorada	2:1
04.12.22	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	0:3

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