Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Celoricense		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.15	3.65
	1.88	3.04	3.97
	1.91	3.18	3.93	Watch
	1.91	3	3.75
	1.87	3.22	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celoricense
47.6%

Draw
28.9%

Machico
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celoricense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celoricense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Celoricense - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

In recent matches, Celoricense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Machico is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Machico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Celoricense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celoricense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Celoricense	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Celoricense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.04.26	Brito - Celoricense	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Celoricense - São Martinho	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Vianense - Celoricense	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Celoricense - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chaves B - Celoricense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLTW
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.04.26	Machico - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Camacha - Machico	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Machico - Bragança	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Machico - Brito	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	São Martinho - Machico	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
31.01.26	Machico - Celoricense	1:0

Celoricense - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide