Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Machico		Ribeira Brava

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.5	12.5
	1.23	4.89	10.68
	1.3	4.42	9.98	Watch
	1.18	5	15
	1.15	5.8	14.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	5.12 ↑ (4.7)	12.53 ↑ (8.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
75.1%

Draw
17.7%

Ribeira Brava
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.3%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

18%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machico's performance.

Ribeira Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeira Brava than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Machico - Ribeira Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Machico is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ribeira Brava is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Machico is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.04.26	Celoricense - Machico	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Machico - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Camacha - Machico	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Machico - Bragança	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Machico - Brito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLWW
- CD Ribeira Brava
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.04.26	Ribeira Brava - Brito	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	São Martinho - Ribeira Brava	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Brito - Ribeira Brava	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Limianos - Ribeira Brava	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Vianense	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
21.12.25	Ribeira Brava - Machico	2:1

Machico - Ribeira Brava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide