Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Resende

	1	X	2
	2	3.05	3.45
	1.96	3.12	3.56
	2	3.2	3.57	Watch
	2	3	3.3
	2.03	3.43	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.16)	3.16 ↑ (3.04)	3.45 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
45.2%

Draw
28.6%

Resende
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Alpendorada - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
59', 0 - 3, ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, ⚽,
70', 1 - 4, ⚽,
80', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Resende is Relegated to

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alpendorada might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Alpendorada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Alpendorada - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Anadia - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Alpendorada - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	União Lamas - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL
- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Resende - Cinfães	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Florgrade - Resende	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Resende - Leça	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vila Real - Resende	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Resende - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.12.25	Resende - Alpendorada	0:0
12.03.23	Alpendorada - Resende	2:0
27.11.22	Resende - Alpendorada	0:3

Upcoming Matches