Match Info

Kazakhstan Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vostok Stadium (Oskemen)

Referee: Sultangaliev R. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Altai Semey		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.50	1.38
	6.10	4.30	1.38	Watch
	6.05	4.11	1.42
	7.05	3.84	1.5	Watch
	5.85	3.85	1.43
	5.21	4.69	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↓ (8.3)	4.22 ↓ (4.8)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
15%

Draw
21.6%

Ordabasy
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

19.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

18.4%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ordabasy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ordabasy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altai Semey - Ordabasy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kucher D. (G) 18. Nazymkhanov A. 3. Odeoyibo S. 23. Kenzhegulov D. (C) 4. Micevic N. 88. Ivanov S. 77. Popov S. 21. Jambor N. 98. Podstrelov D. 45. Dodev D. 99. Stoisavljevic D.	13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 5. Antic N. 25. Maliy S. (C) 55. Amanovic A. 22. Astanov S. 77. Abagna D. 16. Capatina M. 15. Amir Z. 10. Astanov E. 28. Johnsen B. 11. Vakulko Y.
Substitutes
11. Dadaev I. 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 9. Gorshunov E. 19. Gultyaev Z. 7. Kan G. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 17. Kukeev Z. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O. 15. Schmidt D.	24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 9. Everton 4. Keiler S. 44. Keita T. 19. Leo Natel 23. Nurymbet A. 1. Shayzada B. (G) 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 14. Turganov A. 8. Zhaksybaev U.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Dodev D. ⚽, Nazymkhanov A. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Johnsen B. ⚽, Antic N. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Amir Z. ⚽, Astanov E. (A),
31', Odeoyibo S. 🟨,
32', Antic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Micevic N. 🟨,
51', Astanov E. 🟨,
51', Maliy S. 🟨,
52', Jambor N. 🟨,
53', Vakulko Y. 🟨,
54', Dodev D. 🟨,
60', Nazymkhanov A. 🟨,
60', Amir Z. 🟨,
62', Amir Z. ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
62', Astanov E. ↓, Everton ↑,
63', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
63', Odeoyibo S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
68', Amanovic A. 🟨,
72', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Khizhnichenko S. ↑,
72', Popov S. ↓, Kan G. ↑,
74', Kukeev Z. 🟨,
75', Amanovic A. ↓, Zhaksybaev U. ↑,
75', Johnsen B. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
77', Kan G. 🟨,
79', Jambor N. ↓, Sapargaliyev A. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

Altai is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ordabasy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Ordabasy is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altai won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Altai won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Okzhetpes - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Astana - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
19.07.26	Altai Semey - Aktobe	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	0:4 ✺
02.08.26	Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Kairat - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1
Kazakh Cup
15.07.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	0:0

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