Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Vostok Stadium (Oskemen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Altai Semey		Aktobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.10	2.15
	2.92	3.15	2.28	Watch
	2.72	3.2	2.36
	2.79	3.28	2.36	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.3
	2.96	3.24	2.4
	2.85	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.64)	3.17 ↓ (3.28)	2.3 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
32%

Draw
28.6%

Aktobe
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28.2%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altai Semey's performance.

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altai Semey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Altai Semey - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Altai will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Aktobe will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aktobe: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kucher D. (G) 15. Schmidt D. (C) 23. Kenzhegulov D. 88. Ivanov S. 4. Micevic N. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 21. Jambor N. 70. Mitrofanov D. 98. Podstrelov D. 29. Lobzhanidze E. 45. Dodev D.	16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 23. Erlanov T. 5. Kairov B. (C) 18. Ordets I. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 6. Atanasov J. 20. Zhukov G. 14. Pibe 21. Alvarez P. 7. Sosah D. 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
35. Aliakbar A. (G) 11. Dadaev I. 9. Gorshunov E. 19. Gultyaev Z. 7. Kan G. 17. Kukeev Z. 3. Odeoyibo S. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O. 99. Stoisavljevic D.	95. Aymbetov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 4. Kusyapov T. 13. Miangue S. 22. Seydakhmet E. 31. Tanzharikov A. 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 77. Zaria G.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Tarkovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Kairov B. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Ordets I. ⚽, Pibe (A),
30', 0 - 2, Sosah D. ⚽, Zhukov G. (A),
32', Mitrofanov D. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
42', Micevic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lobzhanidze E. ↓, Dadaev I. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Erlanov T. ⚽, Pibe (A),
63', Zhukov G. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
63', Sosah D. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
66', Dodev D. ↓, Stoisavljevic D. ↑,
66', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
68', Pibe 🟨,
70', Stoisavljevic D. 🟨,
73', 1 - 3, Podstrelov D. ⚽, Stoisavljevic D. (A),
73', Pibe ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
73', Kairov B. ↓, Tanzharikov A. ↑,
75', Alvarez P. 🟨,
77', Dosmagambetov T. 🟨,
77', Jambor N. 🟨,
77', Schmidt D. ↓, Gorshunov E. ↑,
78', Zaria G. 🟨,
81', 1 - 4, Alvarez P. ⚽, Zaria G. (A),
84', Shushenachev A. ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 4, Jambor N. ⚽, Dadaev I. (A),
90+3', Micevic N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Altai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Altai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25

Last Results with these Odds

Aktobe - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh Cup
15.07.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
11.07.26	Zhetysu - Altai Semey	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Altai Semey - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Altai Semey - Zhetysu	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWLT
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
12.07.26	Astana - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Aktobe - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Zhetysu - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Aktobe - Astana	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	2:0
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	1:2 penalties
Kazakh First League
31.10.20	Altai Semey - Aktobe	2:0
03.10.20	Aktobe - Altai Semey	2:0

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