Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Žetisu Stadion (Taldykorgan)

Referee: Sultangaliev R. (Kaz)


	Zhetysu		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.00	3.60	1.57
	5.5	3.9	1.52
	5.69	3.9	1.53
	5.52	3.68	1.58	Watch
	5.6	3.75	1.51
	4.97	3.97	1.62	Watch
	5.4	3.75	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↑ (4.27)	3.79 ↑ (3.39)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetysu
17%

Draw
24.1%

Ordabasy
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.1%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

26.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetysu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ordabasy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ordabasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Zhetysu - Ordabasy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ordabasy will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Sicaci S. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 3. Luna D. 11. Dobay A. 8. Adakhadziev A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 17. Nurbol N. (C) 9. Abzalov S. 77. Anuarbekov N. 90. Jovanovic S.	1. Shayzada B. (G) 3. Kilama G. 25. Maliy S. (C) 55. Amanovic A. 22. Astanov S. 44. Keita T. 77. Abagna D. 5. Antic N. 10. Astanov E. 28. Johnsen B. 19. Leo Natel
Substitutes
31. Akhmetov A. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 23. Baltabekov A. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 5. Orynbassar R. 22. Podymskiy D. (G) 18. Shvyrev V. 21. Zhakipbayev M. 27. Zivanovic M.	24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 15. Amir Z. 16. Capatina M. 9. Everton 4. Keiler S. 23. Nurymbet A. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 11. Vakulko Y. 8. Zhaksybaev U.
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Abzalov S. 🟨,
12', Nurbol N. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Astanov E. ⚽, Amanovic A. (A),
30', Pajovic J. 🟨,
42', Abagna D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Nurbol N. ↓, Baltabekov A. ↑,
46', Abzalov S. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Leo Natel ⚽,
63', Leo Natel ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
63', Astanov E. ↓, Everton ↑,
65', Mosiashvili T. ↓, Shvyrev V. ↑,
71', Keita T. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
71', Maliy S. 🟨,
71', Abagna D. ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
72', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
75', Johnsen B. ↓, Vakulko Y. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Astanov S. ⚽,
80', 0 - 4, Everton ⚽, Amir Z. (A),
81', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Orynbassar R. ↑,
90', Nurymbet A. 🟨,
90+1', Kashken D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 1.

Zhetysu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ordabasy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ordabasy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhetysu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Zhetysu - Altai Semey	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Aktobe - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
02.08.26	Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Kairat - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
15.07.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
11.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ordabasy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	2:1
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
20.07.25	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	1:0
19.04.25	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	1:0
28.07.24	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	1:1
01.06.24	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	3:1
01.10.23	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	1:2

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