The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Okzhetpes 55%
Draw 25%
Altai Semey 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
27.2%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
25.8%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altai Semey's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altai Semey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Okzhetpes - Altai Semey Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 9. Borodin D. 25. Marcinho 47. Vasiljev V. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. (C) 17. Umarov S.
25. Kucher D. (G) 4. Micevic N. 23. Kenzhegulov D. 3. Odeoyibo S. 88. Ivanov S. 11. Dadaev I. 21. Jambor N. 15. Schmidt D. (C) 45. Dodev D. 99. Stoisavljevic D. 9. Gorshunov E.
Substitutes
91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 12. Dovgal A. (G) 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 10. Nurgaliyev E. 19. Omirtaev O. 90. Sadovski U. (. 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 4. Zyabko V.
35. Aliakbar A. (G) 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 19. Gultyaev Z. 7. Kan G. 70. Mitrofanov D. 98. Podstrelov D. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O.
Coaches
Alyuetov R.
Masudov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Dodev D. 🟨,
43', Mukanov S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Vasiljev V. ⚽, Mukanov S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Zhangylyshbay T. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
56', Stoisavljevic D. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Omirtaev O. ⚽, Vasiljev V. (A),
61', Dadaev I. ↓, Podstrelov D. ↑,
62', Umarov S. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
62', Dodev D. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
67', Leo Assunpcao ↓, Ensebaev M. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Vomenko V. ⚽, Vasiljev V. (A),
78', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
78', Kenzhegulov D. ↓, Kan G. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Mitrofanov D. ⚽, Kan G. (A),
83', Omirtaev O. 🟨,
85', 4 - 1, Omirtaev O. ⚽, Nurgaliyev E. (A),
90', Gorshunov E. ↓, Gultyaev Z. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
Recent form of Okzhetpes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Altai's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Altai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Okzhetpes is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).