Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Altay		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.75
	4.4	3.7	1.72
	4.6	3.6	1.71
	4.76	3.98	1.76
	4.6	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.7	3.76	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (3.52)	3.66 ↑ (3.52)	1.73 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
20.3%

Draw
25.6%

İstanbul Başakşehir
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

29.9%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altay's form might have worsened.

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Altay - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Altay has the most likely position - 17 (41.14%), has project points - 35, has currently - 29, has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Başakşehir has the most likely position - 4 (26.38%), has project points - 63, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, very small importance 8, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Altay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Başakşehir is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Başakşehir will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Altay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish Super League
10.04.22	Adana Demirspor - Altay	3:1 ✺
02.04.22	Altay - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
20.03.22	Sivasspor - Altay	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	Altay - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
10.04.22	Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2 ✺
04.04.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Adana Demirspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
14.03.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
07.03.22	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
26.11.21	İstanbul Başakşehir - Altay	0:0

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