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Current Win Probability
Adana Demirspor 66.8%
Draw 19.4%
Altay 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
24.4%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
24.5%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adana Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adana Demirspor's performance.
Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adana Demirspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adana Demirspor - Altay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Adana Demirspor has the most likely position - 6 (19.1%), has project points - 60, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Altay has the most likely position - 17 (43.55%), has project points - 36, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality34, small importance12, small match rating23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Adana Demirspor is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Adana Demirspor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.