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Current Win Probability
Altay 21.5%
Draw 25.4%
Galatasaray 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
26.5%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
28.6%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altay's form might have worsened.
Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27%
13.5%
59.5%
Altay - Galatasaray Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 22 - 59.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 43.7% – 75.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 12).
Altay has the most likely position - 17 (47.56%), has project points - 35, has currently - 30, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Galatasaray has the most likely position - 12 (19.46%), has project points - 51, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality34, very small importance2, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Altay is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Galatasaray is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Altay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Watch
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