Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Paisley Park (Melbourne)


	Altona Magic		Dandenong Thunder

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.35	2.25	Watch
	2.77	3.45	2.34
	26.50	14.09	1.03	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.86	3.33	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.51 ↑ (2.64)	5.49 ↑ (3.52)	2.06 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
16.6%

Draw
22.7%

Dandenong Thunder
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altona Magic's form might have worsened.

Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong Thunder's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altona Magic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
20', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 1 - 3, ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, ⚽,
88', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Dandenong Thunder is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona Magic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
10.04.26	Heidelberg United - Altona Magic	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Altona Magic - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Altona Magic - Bentleigh Greens	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Altona Magic - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTLL
- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
11.04.26	Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Dandenong Thunder - Avondale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
07.06.25	Dandenong Thunder - Altona Magic	6:0
01.03.25	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	0:1
08.06.24	Dandenong Thunder - Altona Magic	0:4
02.03.24	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	2:3
01.07.23	Dandenong Thunder - Altona Magic	0:3
01.04.23	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	3:2
11.06.22	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	2:1

Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide