Match Info
NPL Victoria - Round 8Date: 11 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: George Andrews Reserve (Melbourne)
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Dandenong Thunder |
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Green Gully |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.75 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
Watch |
 |
1.92 |
3.85 |
3.62 |
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 |
1.84 |
3.91 |
3.71 |
Watch |
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1.85 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
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1.89 |
3.66 |
3.77 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.86) |
3.7 ↓
(3.77) |
3.68 ↑
(3.51) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dandenong Thunder
49.9% | Draw
24.9% | Green Gully
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Green Gully has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (+0.2%)Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 2.The current form of both teams is below expectations.Green Gully may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Dandenong Thunder could have a small edge in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.7:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong Thunder won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Victoria | | | 16.05.25 | Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder | 3:1 | | 08.02.25 | Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully | 2:1 | | 29.06.24 | Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully | 1:1 | | 22.03.24 | Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder | 1:1 | | 29.07.23 | Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully | 1:0 | | 28.04.23 | Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder | 4:2 | | 21.08.22 | Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully | 3:0 |
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