Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino (Altos)


	Altos		Independência

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9
	1.26	4.95	9
	1.2	4.74	9.25
	1.3	5.35	7.14
	1.4	4.25	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.55)	4.86 ↑ (3.5)	8.22 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altos
70.4%

Draw
18.6%

Independência
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altos's performance.

Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altos than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+4%)

Altos - Independência Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Altos (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Independência (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altos (votes: 1 - 50%). Independência (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Macario ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Macario ⚽,
14', 3 - 0, Macario ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 3 - 1, Felipinho ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Altos is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie D
03.08.25	Independência - Altos	1:5 ✺
26.07.25	Altos - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tocantinópolis - Altos	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Altos - Parnahyba	4:2 ✺
06.07.25	Maracanã - Altos	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW
- Independência FC
Brazilian Serie D
03.08.25	Independência - Altos	1:5 ✺
27.07.25	Independência - Manauara	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Águia de Marabá - Independência	4:1 ✺
12.07.25	Independência - Humaitá	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.08.25	Independência - Altos	1:5

Altos - Independência: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide