Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 5

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino (Altos)


	Altos		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.72
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.27	3.41	1.73
	4.28	3.41	1.72
	4.2	3.25	1.75
	4.46	3.58	1.69	Watch
	4.7	3.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.49)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altos
20.5%

Draw
26.7%

Sport Recife
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

29.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altos's form might have worsened.

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Recife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Altos - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jhonathe Itallo de Sousa Matias (G) 4. Arlan (C) 6. Arthurzinho 10. Dhonata 5. Hudson 3. Leandro Amorim 7. Lucas Manga 2. Luis Guilherme 8. Marcelinho 9. Matheus Taumaturgo 11. Rhuann	22. Caique Franca (G) 12. Alisson Cassiano 30. Chrystian Barletta 94. Felipe 6. Felipinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 19. Lucas Lima 2. Lucas Ramon 40. Luciano Castan (C) 11. Romarinho 10. Ruiz A.
Substitutes
22. Adriano Napao 15. Alberte 19. Arielton 20. Athyrson 23. de Meneses J. 16. Digao 17. Lucas Gomes 13. Mhaylon 14. Ricardo 21. Roger Gaucho 18. Valber Junior 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G)	20. Arthur Caike 47. Fabio Matheus 39. Italo 55. Lucas Andre 59. Ortiz C. 27. Pablo Dyego 54. Pedro Lima 48. Pedro Martins 28. Rosales R. 21. Thiago Couto (G) 99. Ze Roberto

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Sport Recife is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Altos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Altos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
29.02.24	Altos - Fluminense Piaui	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Fluminense Piaui - Altos	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.24	Botafogo PB - Altos	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	Altos - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Ceará - Altos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWWTT
- Sport Recife
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Trem - Sport Recife	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
24.02.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.02.24	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
17.02.24	Sport Recife - CA Porto	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Itabaiana - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
02.03.22	Altos - Sport Recife	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.02.22	Altos - Sport Recife	0:0

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