The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 41.4%
Draw 29.5%
Sport Recife 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
26.3%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
25.9%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
83.3%
0%
Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 3. Betao 23. Igor Fernandes 6. Ryan Carlos 8. Wenderson 41. Samuel Felix 7. Vinicius 10. Jean Carlos (C) 29. Junior Todinho 72. Derek
26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 5. Benevenuto (C) 3. Marcelo Ajul 76. Rai 88. Fernando Sobral 29. Willian Oliveira 30. Chrystian Barletta 20. Diego Hernandez 31. Marlon Douglas 9. Pedro Perotti
Substitutes
5. Auremir 24. Borasi B. 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 46. Gustavo Henrique 13. Indio 19. Kauan Maranhao 27. Luiz Felipe 60. Luiz Paulo 22. Nunez P. 9. Paulo Sergio 93. Reginaldo 11. Victor Andrade
80. Andrade K. 6. Biel Fonseca 21. Brenno (G) 27. Claudinho 25. Clayson 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 28. Habraao 8. Juan Alano 19. Neto Pessoa 7. Patrick de Paula 23. Ze Gabriel
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 14th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Náutico: Leo Indio
(Inactive)
Luiz Felipe
(Injury)
Mateus Silva
(Inactive)
Matheus Ribeiro
(Injury)
Wanderson
(Yellow Cards).
Confirmed absences for Recife: Claudinho
(Injury)
Fabio Matheus
(Ankle Injury)
Felipinho
(Knee Injury)
Juan Alano
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Náutico: Paulo Sergio
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Náutico has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:31 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Náutico against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Brazil
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Muriel Becker (G) 
Diego Hernandez 
Borasi B. 
Andrade K. 
