The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
United of Manchester 29.2%
Draw 24%
Altrincham 46.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.1%
23.9%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
24.1%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
United of Manchester - Altrincham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
12', 1 - 0, Grivosti M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Farrell L. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Knowles J. ⚽,
35', 1 - 3, Barlow A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', 1 - 4, Taylor S. ⚽,
66', 1 - 5, Barlow A. ⚽,
69', 1 - 6, Farrell L. ⚽, Taylor S. (A),
76', 2 - 6, Watson N. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0. Replay (first match was draw).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 2.
United of Manchester has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Altrincham is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
United of Manchester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, United of Manchester has faced a series of away games on the road.
Altrincham is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, United of Manchester has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:5 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for United of Manchester against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Altrincham - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.02%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.