Match Info

2. SNL - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Gorica

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.37
	2.55	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.61	3.05	2.65
	2.68	3.14	2.68	Watch
	2.53	3.18	2.5
	2.55	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.26)	3.18 ↓ (3.62)	2.55 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
35.6%

Draw
28.7%

Gorica
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

25.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

23.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aluminij Kidricevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Aluminij Kidricevo - Gorica Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Cosic R. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 2.

Aluminij has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gorica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminij won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
26.04.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:4 ✺
18.04.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Jadran Dekani - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Tolmin	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW
- ND Gorica
Slovenian 2 SNL
26.04.25	Gorica - Dravinja	0:3 ✺
18.04.25	Jadran Dekani - Gorica	2:4 ✺
11.04.25	Gorica - Tolmin	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Krka - Gorica	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Gorica - Bilje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
20.10.24	Gorica - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1
28.05.23	Gorica - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1
25.05.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Gorica	3:1
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Gorica - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0
Slovenian PrvaLiga
06.05.21	Aluminij Kidricevo - Gorica	2:0
25.02.21	Gorica - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:0
29.11.20	Aluminij Kidricevo - Gorica	2:1

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