Match Info

2. SNL - Round 25

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Ilirija Ljubljana		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.52
	5.2	3.95	1.53
	5.31	4.05	1.53
	5.6	4.01	1.57	Watch
	5.91	4	1.47
	5.2	3.95	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (4.82)	3.96 ↑ (3.9)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija Ljubljana
17%

Draw
23.1%

Aluminij Kidricevo
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.3%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22.3%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ilirija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilirija (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Susso B. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 1 - 2, Koren N. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Susso B. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2).

Recent matches Ilirija is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aluminij is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aluminij could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aluminij is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ilirija won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:12 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ilirija won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.04.25	Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Tolmin - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Krka	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Bilje - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWTL
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.04.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Jadran Dekani - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Tolmin	5:0 ✺
22.03.25	Krka - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
11.10.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:1
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Ilirija Ljubljana	6:1
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.11.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:3
05.08.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0

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