Match Info

Prva liga - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)

Referee: Jazbec Z. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Nafta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.75
	2.30	3.15	2.70
	2.38	3.55	2.91
	2.34	3.51	2.84	Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.85
	2.28	3.28	2.81	Watch
	2.29	3.30	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	2.81 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
39.9%

Draw
27.3%

Nafta
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Aluminij Kidricevo - Nafta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aluminij will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Raduha F. (G) 5. Boben M. 14. Jagic T. (C) 42. Koderman V. 11. Osuji B. 44. Petrisko P. 4. Schaubach R. 6. Simunic D. 45. Susso B. 7. Taylor E. 32. Tezak V.	1. Erjavsek L. (G) 98. Dragoner A. 11. Jasaragic A. 23. Kambic L. 41. Lavrencic K. 17. Marosa A. 18. Pihler A. (C) 10. Pihler L. 2. Pirtovsek R. 33. Poredos L. 7. Zorica J.
Substitutes
25. Bajraj M. 9. Bloudek A. 23. Kramberger E. 24. Modric T. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 18. Rogina S. 34. Schaubach M. 80. Sorensen H. 66. Tomazic L. (G) 3. Zajsek D.	77. Brumec D. 20. Ferreira A. 29. Gorenc Stankovic T. 90. Jamiu U. 99. Micic A. 12. Nemeth E. (G) 21. Omrani S. 30. Vidnyanszky M.
Coaches
Arsic J.	Escudero G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Petrisko P. ⚽, Tezak V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Kambic L. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
58', Pihler L. ↓, Omrani S. ↑,
60', Koderman V. 🟨,
62', Schaubach R. 🟨,
62', Petrisko P. ↓, Rogina S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Zorica J. ⚽, Ferreira A. (A),
79', Osuji B. ↓, Sorensen H. ↑,
79', Simunic D. ↓, Bajraj M. ↑,
84', Lavrencic K. ↓, Vidnyanszky M. ↑,
84', Marosa A. ↓, Jamiu U. ↑,
84', Koderman V. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
90+2', Boben M. 🟥,

Preview

Recent form of Aluminij has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nafta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aluminij may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nafta has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Aluminij won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Nafta: 1.7% Aluminij: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16:11	5	13
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17:16	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Dinamo City - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:0 ✺
23.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Dinamo City	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTTL
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.08.26	Nafta - Mura	5:2 ✺
26.07.26	NK Bravo - Nafta	0:3 ✺
17.07.26	Nafta - Koper	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Nafta - Partizan	1:4 ✺
04.07.26	Nafta - Budapest Honved	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
17.03.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Nafta	1:1
04.09.22	Nafta - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:3
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Nafta - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2

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