Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nafta		Partizan

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.80	1.36
	5.9	4.45	1.43
	6.71	4.57	1.41
	6.08	4.56	1.46	Watch
	6.45	4.45	1.34
	5.63	5.36	1.42	Watch
	4.95	4.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↑ (4.51)	4.7 ↑ (4.5)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
15.4%

Draw
19.4%

Partizan
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Partizan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Partizan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Nafta - Partizan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Partizan (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erjavsek L. (G) 98. Dragoner A. 11. Jasaragic A. 23. Kambic L. 41. Lavrencic K. 17. Marosa A. 8. Ogwuche M. 10. Pihler L. 2. Pirtovsek R. 7. Zorica J.	31. Krunic M. (G) 11. Aleksic M. 6. Dragojevic V. (C) 46. Lekic M. 44. Milic S. . Mohammed A. . Nwulu S. 40. Simic N. 28. Traore C. 36. Ugresic O. 21. Zubairu I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Zubairu I. ⚽,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 0 - 2, Zubairu I. ⚽,
55', 0 - 3, Zubairu I. ⚽,
63', 0 - 4, ⚽,
72', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Nafta have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Partizan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nafta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nafta has had a series of home games.

In this match, Partizan is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Partizan - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Nafta - Budapest Honved	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Nafta - Voluntari	0:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
31.05.26	Nafta - Primorje	1:0 ✺
27.05.26	Primorje - Nafta	0:0 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
22.05.26	Nafta - Triglav	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTT
- FK Partizan
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Partizan	2:2 ✺
06.07.26	Partizan - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Partizan	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Partizan	3:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
23.05.26	Partizan - Radnik Surdulica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLW

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