Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday


	Aluminium Arak		Mes Kerman

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.35	3.4
	2.7	2.15	3.65
	2.79	2.16	3.71
	2.71	2.2	3.72
	2.65	2.26	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.22)	2.22 ↓ (2.7)	3.61 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminium Arak
33.8%

Draw
41%

Mes Kerman
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

33.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

32.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aluminium Arak's form might have worsened.

Mes Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aluminium Arak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	70%	20%

Aluminium Arak - Mes Kerman Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aluminium Arak will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Mes Kerman will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aluminium Arak won 1.

Recent matches Aluminium Arak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mes Kerman is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aluminium Arak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aluminium Arak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aluminium Arak won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aluminium Arak won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
06.10.22	Paykan - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Aluminium Arak - Malavan	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Sepahan - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
05.09.22	Aluminium Arak - Tractor Sazi	0:2 ✺
31.08.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTLT
- Mes Kerman
Iran Pro League
07.10.22	Mes Kerman - Havadar	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Foolad Khuzestan - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
10.09.22	Mes Kerman - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
05.09.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Kerman	2:0 ✺
30.08.22	Mes Kerman - Gol Gohar Sirjan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
08.08.20	Mes Kerman - Aluminium Arak	0:1
06.12.19	Aluminium Arak - Mes Kerman	0:0
24.01.19	Mes Kerman - Aluminium Arak	0:0
26.08.18	Aluminium Arak - Mes Kerman	0:1
23.04.18	Mes Kerman - Aluminium Arak	0:0
03.12.17	Aluminium Arak - Mes Kerman	0:2
30.03.17	Mes Kerman - Aluminium Arak	1:0

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