Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	Kerman TV


	Mes Rafsanjan		Aluminium Arak

	1	X	2
	2.67	2.7	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 (2.67)	2.7 (2.7)	2.67 (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 11.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
33.5%

Draw
33.1%

Aluminium Arak
33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

34.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mes Rafsanjan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Aluminium Arak have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 3.

Mes Rafsanjan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Aluminium Arak has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aluminium Arak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aluminium Arak	6	3	3	0	8:3	5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Mes Rafsanjan - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 33.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Aluminium Arak - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 33.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
22.02.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLLT
- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
20.02.26	Aluminium Arak - Paykan	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Aluminium Arak - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Aluminium Arak	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Aluminium Arak - Tractor Sazi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
24.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
02.02.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
29.08.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Aluminium Arak	3:1
Iran Hazfi Cup
15.06.24	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	1:2 penalties
Iran Pro League
13.03.24	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	1:3
21.09.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Aluminium Arak	2:0
07.02.23	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1

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