Match Info

Date: 5 February 2021, Friday


	Aluminium Arak		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.28	3.1
	2.75	2.3	3.2
	2.82	2.22	3.48
	2.62	2.5	3.1
	2.75	2.32	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.02)	2.32 ↓ (2.96)	3.28 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminium Arak
33.1%

Draw
39.1%

SaiPa
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

21.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aluminium Arak's form might have worsened.

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SaiPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.9%	62.9%	14.3%

Aluminium Arak - SaiPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Aluminium Arak will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). SaiPa will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 62.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
30.01.21	Tractor Sazi - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
25.01.21	Aluminium Arak - Persepolis	2:1 ✺
15.01.21	Aluminium Arak - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Aluminium Arak - Zob Ahan	2:2 ✺
04.01.21	Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTTL
- SaiPa FC
Iran Pro League
29.01.21	SaiPa - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
23.01.21	Esteghlal - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
15.01.21	SaiPa - Zob Ahan	2:1 ✺
04.01.21	Shahr Khodrou - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
29.12.20	SaiPa - Sanat Naft	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWLT

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