Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Esteghlal		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	1.65	2.6	7
	1.53	3.05	7.8
	1.57	2.77	8.84
	1.63	2.8	7.5
	1.68	3.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.4)	2.88 ↓ (3.86)	7.38 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
56.3%

Draw
31.4%

SaiPa
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

23.5%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.6%

19.6%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal's form might have worsened.

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Esteghlal - SaiPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Esteghlal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches SaiPa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esteghlal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Esteghlal is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Esteghlal is absolute favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
18.01.21	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal	1:3 ✺
11.01.21	Esteghlal - Persepolis	2:2 ✺
04.01.21	Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak	2:0 ✺
30.12.20	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
18.12.20	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWWT
- SaiPa FC
Iran Pro League
15.01.21	SaiPa - Zob Ahan	2:1 ✺
04.01.21	Shahr Khodrou - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
29.12.20	SaiPa - Sanat Naft	1:1 ✺
23.12.20	Paykan - SaiPa	1:1
18.12.20	SaiPa - Machine Sazi Tabriz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
29.06.20	Esteghlal - SaiPa	1:1
21.10.19	SaiPa - Esteghlal	0:4
03.04.19	Esteghlal - SaiPa	0:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
01.11.18	Esteghlal - SaiPa	2:3 penalties
Iran Pro League
19.10.18	SaiPa - Esteghlal	1:2
12.01.18	Esteghlal - SaiPa	1:1
17.08.17	SaiPa - Esteghlal	1:0

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