Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Alvarado		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.65
	2.8	2.9	2.6
	2.98	2.79	2.87
	2.75	2.8	2.62
	2.83	2.98	2.71	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.69)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)	2.69 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
33.2%

Draw
32.1%

Almirante Brown
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Alvarado - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almirante Brown is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.03.23	Deportivo Morón - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	6:0 ✺
25.02.23	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Deportivo Flandria - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLTT
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
11.03.23	San Martín de San Juan - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Almirante Brown - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Guillermo Brown - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
20.02.23	Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.07.22	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:2
15.11.21	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	3:2
16.07.21	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:1

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