Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Almirante Brown		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	3	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.87
	2.55	2.8	3	Watch
	2.7	2.76	3.19
	2.64	2.76	3.08	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.59	2.75	3.01
	2.55	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.76)	2.79 ↓ (3.03)	3.02 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
36%

Draw
33.3%

Agropecuario Argentino
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agropecuario Argentino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agropecuario Argentino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Agropecuario will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Agropecuario (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Almirante Brown (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Almirante Brown (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Almirante Brown (votes: 2 - 50%). Agropecuario (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Acuna M. 2. Levi M. 6. Acosta N. 3. Villoldo T. 8. Vazquez J. 5. Velazquez J. 10. Vera S. 7. Gonzalez R. 9. Flores G. 11. Belloso M.	1. Salort G. (G) 2. Molina M. 6. Sills J. 3. Leyendeker M. 4. Aranda B. 8. Sanchez N. 5. Lemos D. 10. Ramos M. 7. Blando B. 9. Gagliardi A. 11. Mosqueira R.
Substitutes
13. Cardozo E. 16. Cenci B. 12. Galvan B. (G) 20. Garcia D. 19. Garcia F. 17. Iglesias L. 15. Machado W. 18. Villalba S. 14. Zacaria J.	12. Alastra A. (G) 18. Coronel F. 17. Gallardo D. 13. Ginzo J. M. 19. Melo A. 15. Miranda F. 20. Ruiz Diaz D. 14. Silcan E. 16. Vasquez D.
Coaches
Szeszurak G.	Adrover A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Belloso M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
52', Flores G. ↓, Villalba S. ↑,
54', 🟨,
55', Mosqueira R. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
55', Aranda B. ↓, Ruiz Diaz D. ↑,
66', Gonzalez R. ↓, Iglesias L. ↑,
72', Velazquez J. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
72', Acosta N. ↓, Zacaria J. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 1.

Almirante Brown is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Agropecuario is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Mitre - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Mitre - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
07.04.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Colón	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Temperley - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	4:0
20.02.23	Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	4:1
10.09.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	1:1
Copa Argentina
24.02.22	Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.10.21	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	3:1
29.06.21	Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1

Upcoming Matches