Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)


	Alvarado		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.25	6.1
	1.61	3.2	5.98
	1.66	3.14	6.66	Watch
	1.6	3	6.5
	1.56	3.13	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.46)	3.14 ↓ (3.36)	6.47 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
57%

Draw
28.9%

Guillermo Brown
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

27%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alvarado - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (C) 4. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 5. Chiozza L. 10. Federico T. 2. Fernandez T. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Gutierrez S. 6. Mansilla M. 7. Miori M. 11. Speck N.	1. Grinovero A. (G) 3. Bravo I. 9. Dezi L. 7. Echenique F. 5. Kostelak A. 6. Lombardi V. 4. Mera B. 11. Moreno E. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M. 8. Varela N.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 16. Brignani M. 18. Castellano A. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 17. Makarte R. 14. Nunez L. 19. Perez M. 20. Pinoni F. 12. Zapata A. (G)	14. Alvarez A. 19. Cucchi P. 16. Esmay V. 18. Hang F. 20. Ojeda A. 12. Ullua S. (G) 15. Vallejos I. 13. Villegas F. 17. Zapulla I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Centurion F. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Fernandez T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3.

In this match, Alvarado is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Alvarado	5:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alvarado - All Boys	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Alvarado - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0
11.02.24	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:1
06.10.23	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	2:0
28.05.23	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0
03.04.22	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	1:0
28.11.20	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	0:0
03.11.19	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	0:0

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