Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Kimberley de Mar del Plata

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.20	6.00
	1.63	3.20	5.30
	1.52	3.07	6.20
	1.59	3.23	6.74	Watch
	1.50	3.00	6.10
	1.55	3.16	7.15
	1.73	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	6.07 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
56.7%

Draw
28.5%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

28%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27.2%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Olimpo Bahia Blanca aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 4. Chimino C. 6. Ferreyra M. 10. Guille B. 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 7. Olivera M. 5. Stancato A. 9. Susvielles J. 11. Vargas M.	1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 4. Loscalso T. 3. Manas F. 5. Miori M. 11. Russo F. 8. Tello L. 7. Ullua E. 2. Vazquez A. 10. Zarate J.
Substitutes
17. Coacci E. 18. Espejo L. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 20. Gonzalez F. 13. Hertel L. 19. Ibarra C. 16. Ramirez D. 14. Vega G.	12. Aguayo D. (G) 17. Chavez S. 16. De Gaetani A. 13. Masino M. 19. Perez L. 18. Rios R. 20. Santillan J. 14. Sosa H. 15. Veron L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Guille B. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Olimpo is a strong favorite.

We predict that Olimpo will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Huracán Las Heras - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTW
- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Cipolletti	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sol de Mayo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0
18.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
02.11.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1
20.10.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1
25.07.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
14.06.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
12.04.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:1

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