Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Real Bedford		Bromsgrove Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.70	3.25
	1.85	3.75	3.20
	1.96	4.25	2.89
	1.91	4.23	3.22	Watch
	1.94	4.20	2.85
	1.78	3.82	3.50
	1.87	3.90	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	3.98 ↑ (3.7)	3.17 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bedford
48.4%

Draw
22.9%

Bromsgrove Sporting
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bromsgrove Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bromsgrove Sporting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Shaw B. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Jones A. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League North and 3rd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Real Bedford is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Bedford has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Bedford against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37:17	20	32
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23:13	10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bedford
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Chesham United - Real Bedford	4:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	3:2 ✺
22.09.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Real Bedford - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Real Bedford - Leighton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Bromsgrove Sporting
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Bury - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leamington	1:1 ✺
22.09.26	Stratford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bury Town	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Worcester City - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.04.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Real Bedford	1:3
20.01.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0

Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting