Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Long Eaton United

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.4	5.25
	1.46	4.81	5
	1.42	4.55	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)	4.59 ↑ (4)	5.3 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
63.1%

Draw
19.8%

Long Eaton United
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

21.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvechurch's performance.

Long Eaton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Long Eaton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvechurch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Long Eaton United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Alvechurch - Long Eaton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alvechurch is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Long Eaton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alvechurch is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Alvechurch - Leamington	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Berkhamsted - Alvechurch	2:2 ✺
12.09.23	Alvechurch - Barwell	4:4 ✺
09.09.23	Royston Town - Alvechurch	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	Alvechurch - Basford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTLW
- Long Eaton United
English Southern League Central Division
25.09.23	Redditch United - Long Eaton United	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Long Eaton United - Kettering Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.23	Long Eaton United - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Berkhamsted - Long Eaton United	0:1 ✺
28.08.23	Long Eaton United - Mickleover Sports	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTLWL

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