Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Alvechurch		Barwell

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.35
	1.79	3.6	4.02
	1.58	4.26	4.95	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.2
	1.64	3.7	4.53
	1.62	3.9	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	4.4 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
54.9%

Draw
24.4%

Barwell
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

22.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Alvechurch - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Seaton J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Abbey J. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Ilesanmi E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 2.

Alvechurch has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barwell is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alvechurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alvechurch is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvechurch won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:15. (average 2.3:2.5).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Alvechurch: 2.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17:4	13	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alvechurch - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Alvechurch - Stamford	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLWL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Barwell - Kettering Town	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Barwell - Royston Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Harborough Town - Barwell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Barwell - Alvechurch	1:2
18.01.25	Alvechurch - Barwell	3:2
09.11.24	Barwell - Alvechurch	5:3
06.01.24	Barwell - Alvechurch	2:2
12.09.23	Alvechurch - Barwell	4:4
21.03.23	Alvechurch - Barwell	2:1
27.08.22	Barwell - Alvechurch	1:1

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