Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.27	3.38
	1.77	3.82	4.05	Watch
	1.8	4.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.66)	4.06 ↑ (3.88)	3.64 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
51.8%

Draw
22.8%

Basford United
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

23.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvechurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alvechurch - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Alvechurch is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alvechurch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alvechurch is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alvechurch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvechurch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
28.08.23	Alvechurch - Redditch United	4:4 ✺
26.08.23	Needham Market - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Alvechurch - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Mickleover Sports - Alvechurch	4:2 ✺
12.08.23	Alvechurch - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLW
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Marine - Basford United	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Basford United - Atherton Collieries	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Basford United - Stafford Rangers	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Guiseley - Basford United	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Ashton United - Basford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.02.23	Alvechurch - Basford United	2:1
14.01.23	Basford United - Alvechurch	3:0
English FA Trophy
31.10.20	Basford United - Alvechurch	2:1

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