Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Royston Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.85
	1.77	3.64	3.96
	1.78	3.84	4.04	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.7	3.82	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.54)	3.66 ↓ (3.91)	3.92 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
52.1%

Draw
24.8%

Royston Town
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

23.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

22.2%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvechurch's form might have worsened.

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvechurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Royston Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alvechurch - Royston Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Abbey J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Royston is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 3.

In recent matches, Alvechurch has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Royston has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Alvechurch is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvechurch won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Alvechurch: 2.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17:4	13	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Alvechurch - Barwell	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alvechurch - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTL
- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Royston Town - St Ives Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Banbury United - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Royston Town - Redditch United	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Royston Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Stratford Town - Royston Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Royston Town - Alvechurch	0:3
05.04.25	Alvechurch - Royston Town	0:2
24.08.24	Royston Town - Alvechurch	0:2
30.01.24	Alvechurch - Royston Town	1:0
09.09.23	Royston Town - Alvechurch	4:1
20.04.23	Alvechurch - Royston Town	2:1
11.03.23	Royston Town - Alvechurch	1:0

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