Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Brazil	Disney+
Denmark	Bold+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alverca		Braga

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.60	1.68	Watch
	4.75	3.50	1.73
	4.70	3.45	1.78	Watch
	5.19	3.65	1.79
	4.97	3.56	1.75	Watch
	4.95	3.60	1.75
	5.13	3.69	1.77	Watch
	4.80	3.50	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (4.15)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alverca
19.2%

Draw
26.6%

Braga
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.9%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26.4%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alverca - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matheus Mendes (G) 14. Baseya S. 21. Gomez S. (C) 4. Bojang Y. 27. Tamarit T. 35. Rayan Lucas 25. Ian Luccas 12. James I. 10. Chiquinho 9. Semedo V. 22. Figueiredo	31. Bernardo (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 6. Vitor Carvalho 44. Bajrami A. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. (C) 34. Tiknaz D. E. 7. Travassos 20. Dorgeles M. 10. Victor P. 50. Rodrigues D.
Substitutes
19. Camara D. 6. Gui D. 91. Jhonatan Luiz (G) 15. Julian I. 18. Kassary Z. 17. Merheg S. J. 8. Moreira V. 11. Nuozzi C. 20. Spencer D. 77. Torrellas O. 7. Vidigal A. 93. Ze Rafael	26. Arrey-Mbi B. 37. Barisic A. 78. Carvalho J. (G) 16. Marques T. 77. Martinez G. 17. Milosevic J. 9. Navarro F. 12. Sa T. (G) 22. Sergio Barcia 19. Wind J.
Coaches
Ferreira S.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Chiquinho (Penalty Awarded),
40', Bajrami A. 🟨,
45+3', Ian Luccas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Travassos ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
46', Bajrami A. ↓, Sergio Barcia ↑,
46', Rodrigues D. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Victor P. ⚽, Tiknaz D. E. (A),
53', Rayan Lucas ↓, Gui D. ↑,
53', Semedo V. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Victor P. ⚽,
64', Dorgeles M. ↓, Marques T. ↑,
66', Victor P. 🟨,
71', Figueiredo ↓, Vidigal A. ↑,
71', Ian Luccas ↓, Kassary Z. ↑,
83', Gomez S. ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
83', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
87', Martinez G. 🟨,
90+1', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,

Preview

Alverca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Braga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Knee Injury) Martinez J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B. (Injury) Gorby (Inactive) Horta R. (Inactive) Niakate S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Alverca: Meupiyou B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Huseinbasic D. (Inactive) Wind J. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).

Including home match between the teams, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Braga	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.32%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
29.08.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Alverca - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Porto - Alverca	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Mafra - Alverca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLL
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
31.08.26	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Austria Wien - Braga	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Braga - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Dinamo Minsk - Braga	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.08.26	Moreirense - Braga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
25.01.26	Braga - Alverca	5:0
17.08.25	Alverca - Braga	0:3

Upcoming Matches