Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Sport União Sintrense (Sintra)


	Sintrense		Serpa

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.92	3.1
	2.34	2.96	3.05	Watch
	2.28	2.96	3.09
	2.66	2.8	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.63)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)	2.98 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sintrense
38.2%

Draw
31.3%

Serpa
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

34.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sintrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Sintrense - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sintrense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sintrense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sintrense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Alcochetense - Sintrense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Sintrense - Rio Ave	3:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.10.25	Sintrense - Oriental	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Alverca B - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Sintrense - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36 LWLTW
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Serpa - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético da Malveira - Serpa	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Serpa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Lusitano GC - Serpa	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Moncarapachense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Serpa - Sintrense	0:1
08.12.24	Sintrense - Serpa	1:0
24.03.24	Serpa - Sintrense	2:2
10.12.23	Sintrense - Serpa	2:1

Sintrense - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide