Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Disney+


	América Mineiro		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.25
	1.66	3.45	5.6
	1.71	3.47	6.55
	1.65	3.41	6.03
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.69	3.4	5.52	Watch
	1.66	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)	3.42 ↓ (3.47)	5.66 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
56%

Draw
27.4%

Amazonas
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

26.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

26.1%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

América Mineiro - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América Mineiro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Mendes (G) 23. Mariano 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Lucao 6. Marlon 42. Miqueias 88. Cauan Barros 7. Miguelito 28. Fabinho 9. Willian Bigode 22. Figueiredo	33. Renan (G) 13. Alyson 4. Wellington 29. Fernando Neto 6. Fabiano (C) 5. Vasquez L. 8. Bruno Ramires 10. Rafael Tavares 71. Alex Sandro 91. Henrique Almeida 30. Rodrigo Varanda
Substitutes
5. Elizari F. 8. Felipe Amaral 21. Jhosefer 12. Jori (G) 18. Julio Cesar 15. Kaua Diniz 10. Martin Benitez 29. Paulinho 4. Pedro Barcelos 78. Renato Marques 17. Stenio 33. Yago Santos	20. Eliton Junior 1. Joao Lopes (G) 27. Linares N. 9. Luan Silva 18. Luquinhas 21. Para 2. Rafael Monteiro 28. Tiago Cameta 57. Vitao 19. William Barbio 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
William Batista	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Miqueias ⚽, Fabinho (A),
36', 1 - 1, Ricardo Silva (Own goal),
41', Bruno Ramires ↓, Para ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rafael Tavares ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
48', Alex Sandro 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Fabinho ⚽,
59', Mariano 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Figueiredo ⚽,
69', Cauan Barros 🟨,
69', Fernando Neto ↓, Tiago Cameta ↑,
69', Rodrigo Varanda ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
70', Mariano ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
71', Cauan Barros ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
71', Willian Bigode ↓, Stenio ↑,
76', Fabinho ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
78', Para 🟨,
82', Alex Sandro ↓, Eliton Junior ↑,
90', Miguelito ↓, Yago Santos ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Amazonas have a series of guest games.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches América MG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
13.04.25	Remo - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
15.03.25	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	4:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	FC Cascavel - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLL
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.25	Amazonas - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Goiás - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
01.04.25	Nacional AM - Amazonas	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Parintins - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	São Raimundo Manaus - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.11.24	Amazonas - América Mineiro	1:0
20.07.24	América Mineiro - Amazonas	0:0

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