The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 32.1%
Draw 29.1%
Cuiabá 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26%
26.9%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
26.1%
45.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cuiabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
América Mineiro - Cuiabá Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Bruno Brigido (G) 4. Rafa Barcelos 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Sosa L. 25. Ostchega T. 88. Gustavo Barreto 8. Felipe Amaral 20. Paulo Victor 77. Segovia M. 7. Guilherme Parede 9. Willian Bigode (C)
1. Joao Carlos (G) 13. Joao Basso 91. Luis Soares 14. Eric Melo 2. Igor Inocencio 30. Raul (C) 97. Luiz Otavio 53. Weverson 41. Kauan Cristtyan 11. Eliel 29. Vinicius Peixoto
Substitutes
27. Cassio Meneses (G) 71. Cristian 21. Eduardo Person 5. Elizari F. 2. Emerson Santos 37. Julio Cesar 26. Manoel 99. Marcelo Macola 30. Montes L. 55. Otavio Goncalves 19. William (G)
12. Busatto G. (G) 5. Calebe Costa 20. David Miguel 39. Guilherme Mansano 22. Jacomin P. 77. Jean Dias 36. Lorenzo 23. Marcos Junior 4. Vitor Mendes
Coaches
Junior M.
Barros E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Sosa L. ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Weverson ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Segovia M. ⚽, Guilherme Parede (A),
60', Eliel ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
60', Luiz Otavio ↓, David Miguel ↑,
64', Luis Soares 🟨,
67', Emerson Santos ↓, Otavio Goncalves ↑,
68', Felipe Amaral ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
68', Eric Melo ↓, Guilherme Mansano ↑,
68', Joao Basso ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
86', Ricardo Silva 🟨,
87', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
90', Willian Bigode ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
90', Paulo Victor ↓, Montes L. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 13th).
América MG is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 0.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
América MG could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Cuiabá is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for América MG: Ale
(Injury)
Alex Silva
(Inactive)
Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Fabio
(Injury)
Gabriel Domingos
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalo Mastriani
(Knee Injury)
Heitor
(Inactive)
Jorge Jimenez
(Yellow Cards).
Confirmed absences for Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Inactive)
Pepe
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Inactive).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, América MG has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for América MG against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Brazil
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Bruno Brigido (G) 
Sosa L. 
Segovia M. 
