Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Filho A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	18:30	Disney+, ESPN


	América Mineiro		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.50	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.35
	3.15	3.35	2.20	Watch
	2.78	3.68	2.53
	3.15	3.56	2.15
	2.75	3.60	2.40
	2.78	3.38	2.36	Watch
	2.95	3.30	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
32.6%

Draw
27.5%

Operário Ferroviario
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.9%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Bruno Brigido (G) 4. Rafa Barcelos 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Sosa L. 25. Ostchega T. 93. Jorge Jimenez 88. Gustavo Barreto 20. Paulo Victor 77. Segovia M. 7. Guilherme Parede 9. Willian Bigode (C)	1. Elias Curzel (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 43. Joseph (C) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 8. Zuluaga J. 5. Indio 14. Pereira H. 20. Vinicius Diniz 30. Pedro Vilhena 99. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
27. Cassio Meneses (G) 71. Cristian 5. Elizari F. 2. Emerson Santos 8. Felipe Amaral 37. Julio Cesar 26. Manoel 99. Marcelo Macola 30. Montes L. 55. Otavio Goncalves 19. William (G)	18. Andre 11. Aylon 21. Brenno Pereira 28. Dudu Mosconi 23. Joao Gabriel 4. Klaus 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 88. Neto Paraiba 17. Nicolas 33. Vagner (G)
Coaches
Junior M.	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ostchega T. 🟨,
42', Caio Dantas 🟨,
42', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pereira H. ↓, Brenno Pereira ↑,
57', Segovia M. 🟨,
60', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
61', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Dudu Mosconi ↑,
64', William 🟨,
71', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Moraes ↑,
71', Mikael Doka ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
76', Ostchega T. ↓, Montes L. ↑,
79', Paulo Victor ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
80', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Felipe Amaral ↑,
82', Zuluaga J. ↓, Aylon ↑,
82', Rafa Barcelos ↓, Otavio Goncalves ↑,
83', Willian Bigode ↓, Marcelo Macola ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Guilherme Parede ⚽, Gustavo Barreto (A),
90+3', Aylon 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 10th).

América MG is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.

América MG has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Operário PR is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Operário PR could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Operário PR holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for América MG: Ale (Injury) Eduardo Person (Inactive) Emerson Santos (Surgery) Gabriel Domingos (Knee Injury) Gonzalo Mastriani (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Operário PR: Boschilia (Inactive) Maguinho (Yellow Cards) Maxwell (Inactive) Pablo (Inactive) Torres A. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for América MG: Fabio (Injury).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, América MG has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 0.7:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for América MG against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Operario-PR	35	14	9	12	45:46	-1	51
19	America MG ✔	35	6	5	24	23:54	-31	23

Last Results with these Odds

América Mineiro - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.16%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.26	Criciúma - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
07.10.26	América Mineiro - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	América Mineiro - Juventude	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Vila Nova - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
11.10.26	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Juventude - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	2:2 ✺
22.09.26	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.06.26	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0
07.09.25	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
04.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0
23.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0
06.07.24	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
21.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	0:1
14.08.20	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:1

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