The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Goianiense 69.7%
Draw 19.2%
América Mineiro 11.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
22.7%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
21.7%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Goianiense's performance.
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 8. Netinho 5. Peixoto 7. Geovany Soares 10. Marrony 11. Gustavo Maia 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
19. William (G) 31. Fabio 4. Rafa Barcelos 3. Sosa L. 30. Montes L. 88. Gustavo Barreto 13. Heitor 20. Paulo Victor 77. Segovia M. 7. Guilherme Parede 9. Willian Bigode (C)
Substitutes
22. Bruno Jose 17. Cristiano 20. Guilherme 19. Henrique Freitas 13. Henrique K. 18. Joao Pedro 21. Matheusinho 15. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito 16. Yuri
27. Cassio Meneses (G) 71. Cristian 8. Felipe Amaral 32. Filipe Dahora 37. Julio Cesar 26. Manoel 99. Marcelo Macola 25. Ostchega T. 45. Ricardo Silva
Coaches
Roger Silva
Gonzaga Leite D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Marrony ⚽,
22', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
28', Sosa L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Heitor ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Adriano Martins ⚽, Netinho (A),
59', Netinho 🟨,
60', Geovany Soares ↓, Guilherme ↑,
60', Gustavo Maia ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
60', Marrony ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
60', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
62', Guilherme Parede ↓, Ricardo Silva ↑,
62', Willian Bigode ↓, Marcelo Macola ↑,
74', Netinho ↓, Cristiano ↑,
74', Rafa Barcelos ↓, Ostchega T. ↑,
74', Segovia M. ↓, Filipe Dahora ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 19th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 2.
Atlético GO is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
América MG is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atlético GO holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Atlético GO: Leandro Vilela
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for América MG: Ale
(Injury)
Cassio Meneses
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Emerson Santos
(Surgery)
Gabriel Domingos
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalo Mastriani
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Parede
(Inactive)
Otavio Goncalves
(Yellow Cards).
Doubtful / questionable for América MG: Bruno Brigido
(Injury)
Ricardo Silva
(Inactive).
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético GO has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:15 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético GO against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
Brazil
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Paulo Vitor (G) 
Barreto Viera O. J. 
Sosa L. 
Joao Pedro 
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