Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	América RN		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.8
	3.95	3.25	1.8
	4.18	3.22	1.72
	4.7	3.57	1.72
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.56	3.46	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (2.64)	3.33 ↑ (3.05)	1.75 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
21%

Draw
27.2%

Sport Recife
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

20.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América RN's form might have worsened.

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+27.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América RN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Recife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

América RN - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
19.02.20	ABC - América RN	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.20	América RN - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
12.02.20	Força e Luz - América RN	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.02.20	Ríver PI - América RN	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.02.20	São Luiz - América RN	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWWT
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.02.20	Brusque - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.02.20	Decisão - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.02.20	Sport Recife - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.02.20	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.10.13	Sport Recife - América RN	3:0
13.07.13	América RN - Sport Recife	2:4

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