Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Brusque		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.38	Watch
	3	2.95	2.3
	3.2	3	2.35
	3.43	3.01	2.41
	3.3	2.96	2.36	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.23	3.1	2.31	Watch
	3.2	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.35 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
29%

Draw
31.1%

Sport Recife
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.8%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

29.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	54.5%	27.3%

Brusque - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Recife will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 2. Everton Alemao 4. Wallace (C) 21. Luiz Henrique 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 19. Marcos Serrato 8. Jhemerson 27. Diego Mathias 99. Pollero R. 94. Paulinho Moccelin	22. Caique Franca (G) 55. Lucas Andre 2. Allyson 44. Chico 6. Felipinho 94. Felipe 43. Luciano 19. Lucas Lima (C) 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Gustavo Coutinho 18. Wellington Silva
Substitutes
11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 35. Georgemy (G) 17. Guilherme Queiroz 3. Ianson 6. Lima G. 30. Lorran 33. Madison 31. Matheus Silva (G) 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 80. Osman 20. Robinho	12. Alisson Cassiano 29. Dalbert 7. Fabinho 47. Fabio Matheus 16. Igor Carius 39. Italo 77. Lenny Lobato 40. Luciano Castan 17. Pedro Vilhena 21. Thiago Couto (G) 99. Ze Roberto
Coaches
Luizinho Vieira	Guto Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Luciano 🟨,
24', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Diego Mathias ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luciano ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
46', Lucas Andre ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
48', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,
60', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
60', Jhemerson ↓, Lorran ↑,
61', Wellington Silva ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
71', Felipe ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
71', Luiz Henrique ↓, Madison ↑,
77', Lorran 🟨,
78', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Dalbert ↑,
84', Lucas Lima 🟨,
86', Allyson 🟨,
87', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Dionisio ↑,
90+2', Pollero R. 🟨,
90+5', Lucas Lima 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).

Brusque has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Recife is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recife will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Brusque: Cristovam (Red Card) Keke (Injury) Marcelo Nunes (Injury)

There will not play in Recife: Palacios H. (Injury) Pedro Martins (Injury) Rafael Thyere (Injury) Romarinho (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.24	Goiás - Brusque	4:1 ✺
18.08.24	Brusque - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Mirassol - Brusque	2:0 ✺
02.08.24	Brusque - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Guarani - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.24	Sport Recife - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Sport Recife - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
02.08.24	Santos - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.05.24	Sport Recife - Brusque	4:1
04.10.22	Brusque - Sport Recife	0:1
25.06.22	Sport Recife - Brusque	0:0
Copa do Brasil
12.02.20	Brusque - Sport Recife	2:1

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