Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Amagaju |
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Kigali |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.45 |
2.62 |
2.28 |
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3.35 |
2.78 |
2.24 |
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3.46 |
2.8 |
2.27 |
Watch |
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3.4 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
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3.55 |
2.92 |
2.19 |
Watch |
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3.33 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.42 ↑ (2.74) |
2.77 ↑ (2.64) |
2.23 ↓ (2.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Amagaju 26.5% | Draw 32.8% | Kigali 40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amagaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amagaju's form might have worsened.Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kigali's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amagaju than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amagaju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kigali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Amagaju - Kigali Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 2.Recent form of Amagaju has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Kigali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Amagaju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Amagaju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Amagaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
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| 16 | Kigali FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Kigali - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 14.09.25 | Kigali - Amagaju | 1:2 | | 19.04.25 | Kigali - Amagaju | 2:1 | | 24.11.24 | Amagaju - Kigali | 1:2 | | 10.02.24 | Amagaju - Kigali | 2:1 | | 01.10.23 | Kigali - Amagaju | 1:1 | | 01.06.19 | Amagaju - Kigali | 2:1 | | 19.01.19 | Kigali - Amagaju | 1:0 |
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