Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 5 February 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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Kigali |
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Rayon Sports |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.3 |
2.82 |
2.22 |
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3.14 |
2.86 |
2.29 |
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3.24 |
2.92 |
2.29 |
Watch |
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3 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
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3.11 |
3.22 |
2.23 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
2.85 |
2.28 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.15 ↑ (3.07) |
2.93 ↑ (2.9) |
2.25 ↓ (2.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kigali 28.8% | Draw 31% | Rayon Sports 40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Rayon Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Kigali - Rayon Sports Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Rayon Sports has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.7:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Rayon Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
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| 16 | Kigali FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 23.11.25 | Rayon Sports - Kigali | 0:2 | | 15.03.25 | Rayon Sports - Kigali | 2:1 | | 14.12.24 | Kigali - Rayon Sports | 1:3 | | 09.12.23 | Kigali - Rayon Sports | 2:1 | | 12.03.23 | Kigali - Rayon Sports | 1:1 | | 24.11.22 | Rayon Sports - Kigali | 1:0 | | 23.04.22 | Rayon Sports - Kigali | 1:0 |
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