Match Info

Premier League

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Kigali		Rutsiro

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.05	3.8
	2.02	3.14	3.67	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	1.99	3.1	3.62
	1.96	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	3.62 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kigali
45.7%

Draw
29.4%

Rutsiro
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

28.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Rutsiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rutsiro than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Kigali - Rutsiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kigali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kigali has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kigali is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Kigali FC	3	0	1	2	0:4	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
03.01.26	Etincelles - Kigali	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Kigali	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	Gasogi United - Kigali	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Kigali - Bugesera	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTTT
- Rutsiro FC
Rwanda Premier League
04.01.26	Rutsiro - Mukura Victory Sports	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Rutsiro - Gicumbi	2:4 ✺
21.12.25	Kiyovu Sports - Rutsiro	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Rutsiro	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Amagaju - Rutsiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
09.03.25	Rutsiro - Kigali	2:1
21.09.24	Kigali - Rutsiro	0:0
21.05.23	Kigali - Rutsiro	0:2
02.10.22	Rutsiro - Kigali	1:2
15.05.22	Rutsiro - Kigali	0:0
15.01.22	Kigali - Rutsiro	1:2
10.06.21	Rutsiro - Kigali	0:2

Kigali - Rutsiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide