Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Police |
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Kigali |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.82 |
2.98 |
4.45 |
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1.64 |
3.16 |
5.56 |
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1.71 |
3.19 |
5.28 |
Watch |
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1.8 |
2.9 |
4.33 |
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1.69 |
3.1 |
5.36 |
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1.63 |
3.2 |
5.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↑ (1.55) |
3.09 ↓ (3.44) |
5.05 ↓ (5.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police 52.8% | Draw 29.3% | Kigali 17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-3.3%)Police - Kigali Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Police has had a series of away games. In this match, Police is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Police won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Police won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Police | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
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| 16 | Kigali FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;