Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 19

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Amarante		Bragança

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.45	3.6	5.8
	1.5	3.82	6.79
	1.47	3.96	6.5
	1.5	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	3.81 ↓ (3.86)	6.13 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
61.4%

Draw
23.8%

Bragança
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.8%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

22.3%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Bragança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amarante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Amarante is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Bragança is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Amarante is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Amarante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Dumiense - Amarante	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Amarante - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
29.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Amarante	2:3 ✺
22.01.23	Amarante - Brito	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	São Martinho - Amarante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTT
- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Bragança - Desportivo Monção	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Bragança - Dumiense	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Pevidem - Bragança	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Bragança - Maria da Fonte	1:3 ✺
15.01.23	Brito - Bragança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.11.22	Bragança - Amarante	0:1
Taça de Portugal
18.10.15	Amarante - Bragança	3:2 penalties

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