Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Amarante		Florgrade

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.63	3.21	5
	1.67	3.33	5.38
	1.65	3.28	5.38
	1.66	3.35	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.41)	3.29 ↓ (4)	5.13 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
54.7%

Draw
27.6%

Florgrade
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amarante's form might have worsened.

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florgrade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amarante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Amarante is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Florgrade is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Amarante is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Gondomar - Amarante	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Amarante - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Amarante	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Amarante	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Amarante - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLTT
- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Florgrade - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Paredes - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Florgrade - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Oliveira do Douro - Florgrade	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Florgrade - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.11.23	Florgrade - Amarante	1:2

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